More than 50 climate scientists have published a study that pinpoints when all the ice in Antarctica will melt. In the study, Published On the 4th of this month, scientists released the first major prediction of how carbon emissions will cause the total melting of Antarctic ice over the next 300 years.
According to the study, which looked at individual climate models on existing ice, the future of Antarctica’s glaciers will be uncertain after 2100.
Scientists combined data from 16 individual models and found that the melting of all Antarctic ice will increase, albeit gradually, in the coming years.
But this stability will end after 2100, according to scientists’ models, which monitor the melting of Antarctic ice at the current level of emissions.
So scientists created a model that shows what Antarctic ice sheet melting would look like under high- and low-carbon emissions scenarios by 2300.
In this way, scientists have revealed, through numerical experiments, the predictions of the melting of all the ice in Antarctica. According to the study, the event will occur from the year 2300 onwards due to the rise in sea levels that will occur a century earlier.
Scientists warn of role of emissions
“When we talk to authorities about sea level rise, they mostly focus on what will happen up to 2100,” says study author Helene Seroussi. “There are very few studies that look at what will happen after that date.”
According to Al-Sirosi, the study provides long-term forecasts that have not existed before. However, the scientists revealed that the models show a discrepancy in the exact date when all the ice will melt.
On the other hand, the melting rate remained constant in both models, according to the study.
“Although current carbon emissions have only a modest impact on models projected for this century, the difference between how low- and high-emission scenarios contribute to sea-level rise increases dramatically after 2100. These results confirm what is clear: that it is critical to reduce emissions to ‘protect future generations,’” the study says.
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